Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,025,657 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $338,205 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $281,982 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $234,563 over 5.6 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Hybrid · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $267,898 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Breakout · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,315,282 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Calendar · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $169,075 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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A defensive BTC holding strategy that adjusts position size based on where price sits relative to key moving averages.
Full position (100%) when BTC is above the 50-day MA — the trend is healthy.
Half position (50%) when between the 200-day and 50-day MA — trend is weakening but not broken.
Zero position (cash) when below the 200-day MA — the long-term trend is bearish.
This simple 3-tier system improves both CAGR (+56.7% vs +44.8% buy & hold) AND reduces max drawdown from -76.7% to -51.5% by avoiding the worst of bear markets.
In backtesting, this approach outperformed buy & hold — historically, avoiding large losses compounded more than the cost of missing some upside.
Universe
BTC only · Binance Futures · Tiered position sizing based on 50MA and 200MA · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $533,836 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Cross-Asset · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,067,618 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
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Uses the 14-day RSI (Relative Strength Index) to rank coins cross-sectionally.
Goes long the 10 coins with A high RSI (strongest momentum) and shorts the 10 with A low.
However, it only considers RSI readings for coins that are above their 50-day moving average — this filters out 'dead cat bounces' where RSI rises in a downtrend.
Coins with RSI < 30 are always included as potential shorts.
Weekly rebalance.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Only buys coins that are in a confirmed uptrend: price must be above its 20-day MA, AND the 20-day MA must be above the 60-day MA (both short and medium-term trends aligned).
Among those qualifying coins, it goes long the top 10 by 21-day momentum.
This double filter means it completely avoids coins in downtrends, sitting in cash when few coins meet the criteria.
Weekly rebalance, 50% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $450,099 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Combines momentum signals across three timeframes: 7-day (40% weight), 21-day (35%), and 63-day (25%).
Each is converted to a cross-sectional Z-score before blending, so no single timeframe dominates.
Goes long the top 15 coins by the blended score.
The multi-timeframe approach captures both fast-moving and sustained trends, reducing the chance of buying into a fading rally.
Weekly rebalance, 60% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $524,904 over 5.4 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Always maintains long positions in the top 10 momentum coins (60% of capital).
When BTC's 30-day return turns negative, it adds a short hedge: 5 shorts in mild weakness (BTC 30d between -5% and 0%), or 10 shorts in a serious downturn (BTC 30d < -5%).
This approach maintained upside exposure in historical bull markets while the short hedge activated during downturns in backtesting.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Ranks coins by 'quality-adjusted' momentum: the raw 21-day return multiplied by the log of the volume ratio (current volume / 20-day average).
This means a coin rallying on HIGH volume scores better than one rallying on low volume — volume confirms conviction.
Only considers coins above their 50-day MA.
Goes long the top 10 quality momentum coins.
Weekly rebalance, 20% vol target for conservative sizing.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $3,602,413 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Blends two signals equally: negative funding rate carry (coins where shorts pay longs) and 21-day momentum.
Only considers coins above their 50-day MA (confirmed uptrend).
Historically collected funding while riding momentum — when both signals aligned in backtesting, the combination produced stronger risk-adjusted returns than either signal alone.
The carry component adds ~0.3 Sharpe over pure momentum alone.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · Above 50MA only · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Multi-Factor · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $2,488,031 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Combines two powerful signals: price above the 20-day Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) plus Relative Volume above 1.5x the 20-day average.
When a coin is trading above where most volume occurred AND doing so on above-average volume, it signals strong institutional demand.
Goes long the 10 best-scoring coins.
Daily rebalance, 80% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $3,578,661 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Focuses on coins where the 20-day moving average itself is accelerating upward.
Measures the 5-day rate of change of the 20-day MA — a rising MA that's getting steeper indicates strengthening momentum.
Only buys coins where both the MA slope AND the 5-day price return are positive.
Goes long top 10.
Daily rebalance, 30% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,634,562 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Catches strong daily moves: enters when a coin moves up more than 3% in a single day on relative volume greater than 1.8x the 20-day average, while the coin is above its 20-day MA.
These 'gap-up on volume' events often signal the start of a new leg higher driven by institutional buying.
Concentrated portfolio of just 5 coins.
Daily rebalance, 80% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Momentum · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,562,551 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Uses the classic EMA crossover signal applied cross-sectionally.
Ranks all coins by the distance between their 9-day EMA and 21-day EMA — a large positive gap means a strong bullish crossover, large negative means bearish.
Goes long the 10 coins with A strong bullish crosses and shorts the 10 with Highly bearish.
The 9/21 EMA combo is fast enough to catch trends early but slow enough to avoid noise.
Daily rebalance, 40% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Blends two complementary signals: 60% from Turtle breakouts (catches trending moves) and 40% from oversold bounces in uptrending coins (catches dips).
The breakout leg enters on 20-day highs with 10-day low exits.
The mean-reversion leg buys coins that dipped below Z-score -1.5 but are still above their 50-day MA.
The two signals are uncorrelated, providing smoother returns than either alone.
Daily rebalance, 20% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Hybrid · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $395,225 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Uses small position sizes (50% of normal for longs, 30% for shorts) and only trades when the signal is clear: long breakouts in bull markets (BTC 30d > 0), short the weakest coins in bear markets (BTC 30d < -10%).
Between those zones, it sits in cash.
Prioritises capital preservation over returns — designed to never have a catastrophic drawdown.
Rebalances every 3 days, 20% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Dynamically scales its total market exposure based on 'market breadth' — the percentage of coins trading above their 20-day moving average.
When most coins are trending up (breadth > 50%), it uses full position size.
When breadth collapses (bear market, few uptrends), exposure drops toward zero automatically.
Uses a tight 10-day MA stop on individual positions.
Daily rebalance, 20% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $261,685 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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A faster variant of the classic Turtle system using shorter lookback periods: enter when a coin makes a new 10-day high (instead of 20), exit when it makes a 5-day low (instead of 10).
The shorter windows catch trends earlier and exit faster, resulting in more trades but quicker reaction to reversals.
Ranks active positions by 5-day rate of change, holds top 10.
Daily rebalance, 40% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Breakout · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $2,840,601 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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The slow, patient version of the Turtle system: enter on a 40-day high breakout (roughly 2 months), exit on a 20-day low.
The longer lookback means fewer signals but catches bigger, more sustained trends.
Less prone to whipsaws in choppy markets compared to faster variants, but slower to enter new trends.
Ranks by 20-day ROC, holds top 10.
Daily rebalance, 30% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Breakout · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $834,788 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Runs the Turtle breakout system (enter on 20-day high, exit on 10-day low) but dynamically scales position size based on BTC's realised volatility.
When BTC vol is low (calm markets, <50% annualised), positions are full size.
When BTC vol spikes (turbulent markets, >80%), positions are reduced to 25% of normal.
This automatically reduces exposure during Highly dangerous periods.
Daily rebalance, 20% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Breakout · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $384,676 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Maintains Turtle breakout longs (60% of capital) at all times, but adds a short hedge (40% of capital) on the 5 weakest momentum coins whenever BTC's 30-day return drops below -5%.
In bull markets, it's a pure long breakout strategy.
In bear markets, the short hedge kicks in to offset losses.
In backtesting, this approach showed lower drawdowns than unhedged breakouts while retaining most of the upside historically.
Daily rebalance, 20% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Only enters breakouts that are accompanied by above-average volume (RVOL > 1.3x).
A breakout on low volume may be more likely to fail — this filter is designed to identify moves with stronger buying pressure.
Uses the 20-day Donchian low as the exit (a wide trailing stop that lets winners run).
Ranks by 10-day ROC, holds top 10.
Daily rebalance, 30% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Breakout · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $930,945 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Targets coins that have rallied too far too fast — specifically those with a Z-score above 2.0 (more than 2 standard deviations above their 20-day mean).
Only trades when BTC's 30-day return is negative (bear market), which is when overextended rallies are most likely to fail.
Shorts the 10 most overextended coins.
Sits in cash entirely during bull markets.
30% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Bear regime only · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Mean Reversion · Short Only · 7bps RT fees · 5-Day rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $138,176 over 4.8 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Identifies coins in confirmed downtrends (below both 20-day and 50-day moving averages) where trading volume has dried up to less than 70% of the 30-day average.
Low volume in a downtrend signals no buying interest — these coins tend to keep falling.
Only active when BTC is bearish (30d return < +5%).
Shorts the 10 weakest by this criteria.
20% vol target for conservative sizing.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Bear regime only · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Short Only · 7bps RT fees · 5-Day rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $147,898 over 4.7 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Shorts coins that spike >15x their 20-day average volume while up >50% in 3 days.
These extreme volume events signal peak retail FOMO — when everyone is buying, the smart money is selling.
Holds the short for 7 days then exits.
Only ~16 trades per year but extremely high conviction.
The 15x volume threshold filters for only Highly extreme spikes — at this level, pumps in backtesting tended to have exhausted buying pressure and historically reverted within a week.
Mean Reversion · Short Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $456,851 over 2.3 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Mean Reversion · Short Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $466,558 over 5.2 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Shorts every new Binance Futures listing starting on day 2 after listing, holds for 5 days.
New listings consistently fade after the initial hype — 68% are negative within a week.
By waiting until day 2, the strategy avoids the chaotic first-day price discovery and short squeezes.
Extremely robust: positive Sharpe across every entry day (0-3), hold period (5-10d), and volume filter tested.
437 trades over 6 years provides strong statistical significance.
Universe
Binance Futures · All new listings · $25M+ listing-day volume · Entry on day 2 post-listing · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Mean Reversion · Short Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $212,159 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
A sector spread trade: goes long the 5 strongest Layer 1 blockchain coins (BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, AVAX, etc.) and shorts the 5 strongest Layer 2 tokens (ARB, OP, MATIC, etc.) by 21-day momentum.
The thesis is that L1s capture more value than L2s over time — L2s face constant competition and fee compression while L1s benefit from network effects.
Weekly rebalance, 50% vol target.
Universe
Binance Futures · Top 50 by 30d median vol · $15M+ · Spike ratio < 2.0 · 90d listed · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
Sector · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $567,048 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
Sector · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Daily rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $270,945 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
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Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
Only trades the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap (top 50, reconstituted annually from CoinMarketCap data).
Requires full EMA ribbon alignment: 8-day > 21-day > 55-day EMA, with price above all three.
This is A strong possible trend confirmation — all timeframes agree.
Ranks by ribbon spread (distance between fast and slow EMA).
Holds top 10 aligned coins.
Weekly rebalance, 40% vol target.
Universe
Top 50 by market cap · Reconstituted annually · No survivorship bias · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $1,431,516 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
Unlock full analysis
Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
Unlock full analysis
Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
A simple but effective approach limited to large-cap coins (top 50 by market cap, reconstituted annually).
Only holds coins in confirmed uptrends: price above 20-day MA AND 20-day MA above 50-day MA.
Among trending coins, ranks by 14-day momentum and holds the top 10.
When no large caps are trending (bear market), the strategy is in cash.
Weekly rebalance, 40% vol target.
Universe
Top 50 by market cap · Reconstituted annually · No survivorship bias · Stablecoins & wrapped excluded · Deterministic tie-breaking · Equal-weight positions
Execution
Trend Following · Long Only · 7bps RT fees · Weekly rebalance · Vol-targeted leverage
Result
$50,000 → $2,432,630 over 6.1 years
Equity Curve — $50K start (2020 – 2026)
These results are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical in nature. They do not represent actual trading results. Backtested performance does not account for real-world factors including slippage beyond fee assumptions, exchange downtime, liquidity constraints, market impact, and execution delays. Actual results may differ materially.
Drawdown
Unlock full analysis
Monthly heatmaps and trade breakdowns are available on the Researcher plan.
Loot-Fi publishes historical backtesting research for educational purposes only. Nothing on Loot-Fi constitutes financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any asset, or an invitation to invest. Past performance in backtesting does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk, including the loss of your entire investment. You should consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.